Stories by avionical

The prediction platform Metaculus is open source now

Metaculus gets 99.5% accuracy in Scott Alexander's ACX 2023 Forecasting Contest

2024 US Election Forecast Map. You can predict %s for each state

AI summaries of the factors that will determine if some future event happens

Metaculus's Forecast Fridays

Dashboard for aggregating / visualizing Covid-19 predictions

Introducing AVIONIC