Stories by 7777777phil

The best general advice on earth

The Second Photonic Shock: A Model

Digital Hygiene (2025)

WordPress?

Mario Draghi on Debt, Growth and Europe's Future

Models led prediction markets in forecasting the blue wave

Apple Will Scan Public iCloud Links for Harmful Content Starting in iOS 27.3

Hedge Fund Presentations by Renowned Activist Investors

Live Election Results

The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Recurrent Neural Networks (2015)

The NYT/Siena polls show a blue tsunami

Good and Bad Procrastination (2005)

Does working less explain Europe's GDP per capita gap with America?

Exit Liquidity

No One Needs Us Anymore [video]

Housing Affordability: Family Wealth and the Generation Gap

Forecasting Financial Markets with Timestral

Calibration, accuracy, variation across forecasts from prediction platforms

The Hackening

Fake polls are a real problem

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